Monday Service Play Thread 08/30/2021

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Tokyo Brandon

(961) Minnesota Twins at (962) Detroit Tiers
Game: (961) Minnesota Twins at (962) Detroit Tigers
Date/Time: Aug 30 2021 2:10 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: William Hill
Play Rating: A%
Play: 1H Total Under 5.0 (-110) B Ober (RHP), C Mize (RHP) Must Start
Both SPs are solid and neither lineup is killing anything lately except their records. My numbers have this total at 4.4 and the last three games between these two have all been under. Take out the bullpens and make a small play on the 1st 5 Under 5.

(965) Boston Red Sox at (966) Tampa Bay Rays
Game: (965) Boston Red Sox at (966) Tampa Bay Rays
Date/Time: Aug 30 2021 7:10 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: William Hill
Play Rating: A%
Play: 1H Boston Red Sox Total Over 1.5 (-120) Action
The Sox are the #2 hitting team the last 30 days and are the #3 hitting team vs RHP. Patino is having a nice season but his WHIP is nothing special and he has had some exposure to the Sox lineup which is always a hitter's advantage. If the 1st 5 total is 4.5, the Red Sox should be able to garner 2 runs. I have the number at 2.66. Make a small play on the Red Sox Over 1.5 1st 5.
 

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james-martingale

DENMARK: 1st Division
Hvidovre IF – Hobro
Second Half : Over 1.5 Goals
Odds : 2.00 / 4 units
 

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totalgoalsvip

FRANCE – National
Le Mans – Sete
Bet : 2 or 3 goals
Odd: 2.00
 

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corner-bet

SPAIN LaLiga2
Zaragoza v Cartagena
Under 8.5
 

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dubaibets

Rumania : Liga 1
Gas Methan – UTA Arad
Gas Methan +0 @ 1.95
 

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Totals 4 U

Totals 4 You MLB Baseball Report
2021 AL East Monday Night Baseball Total of the Year
Boston/Tampa Bay over 8 1/2

MLB Baseball Bonus Winners
St Louis/Cincinnati over 9
Philadelphia/Washington under 8
Atlanta/LA Dodgers under 9
Colorado/Texas over 8 1/2
 

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Larry Hartstein

BOSTON @ TAMPA BAY | 08/30 | 7:10 PM EDT
TAMPA BAY -125
ANALYSIS: Nick Pivetta was outstanding in April but he has been below average since. In five of his last eight starts, he's given up four earned runs. The Rays have won seven straight overall and are 7-1 in the last eight meetings with Boston. That includes five straight home wins. Lay the reasonable price.
 

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Tony George

D Units - #966 Tampa Bay (-135) vs Boston *7 EST
 

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Elite Sports Picks

Philadelphia (Wheeler)/Washington (Gray) OVER 8
 

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Insider Sports Report
D* Milwaukee (Burnes) -135 over San Francisco (Cueto)
Range: -115 to -155
C* Toronto (Ray) -1.5 runs -150 over Baltimore (Ellis)
Range: -130 to -170

National Sports Service
D* L.A. Dodgers (Urias) -1.5 runs +110 over Atlanta (Smyly)

Primetime Sports Picks
D Unit --> Houston (Garcia)/Seattle (Flexen) UNDER 8.5
C Unit --> St. Louis (Lester) +1.5 runs -125 over Cincinnati (Castillo)
C Unit --> Tampa Bay (Patino) -125 over Boston (Pivetta)

Top Rank Sports Picks
D★ Toronto (Ray) -1.5 runs -150 over Baltimore (Ellis)
 

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Kyle Akins

ATLANTA @ L.A. DODGERS | 08/30 | 10:10 PM EDT
UNDER 9
ANALYSIS: Los Angeles has played 13 straight games that would not have exceeded this total, and with a solid pitching matchup on Monday, there is no reason to suddenly expect a much higher-scoring game for the Dodgers. Atlanta starts LHP Drew Smyly, who hasn't pitched since Aug. 21. Smyly is 1-6 OU (-3.00 rpg) since 2019 when starting with 6-9 days' rest. The last two starts he made in this situation, both this year, were 1-0 wins by the Braves.
 

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John Bollman

SAN DIEGO @ ARIZONA | 08/30 | 9:40 PM EDT
ARIZONA +170
ANALYSIS: The Diamondbacks just went 6-1 on their last homestand including winning 3 of 4 games against the Padres. One of those games was a no hitter by tonight’s starting pitcher, Tyler Gilbert. Gilbert’s only start where he struggled came at Coors Field. Chris Paddack hasn’t pitched in over a month and he was hit hard in his last outing against the Dbacks. The Padres are 9-15 overall and 3-8 on the road since the trade deadline.

BOSTON @ TAMPA BAY | 08/30 | 7:10 PM EDT
TAMPA BAY -135
ANALYSIS: The Rays have won 7 games in a row and they are tied for the second-best record in the league since the trade deadline at 19-6. The Red Sox are 12-14 since the trade deadline and 4-10 on the road. Luis Patino is much better with a 2.10 ERA at home and Nick Pivetta has struggled recently. Pivetta has faced the Red Sox three times already this season and the Red Sox bullpen is a little worked after the close games in Cleveland. The Rays are 5-1 at home against the Red Sox this season.
 

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MLB Sharp Action

7:10 p.m. ET: Boston Red Sox (75-57) at Tampa Bay Rays (82-48)

This three-game series is crucial for both teams, as the Rays lead the AL East by six games over the Yankees and eight games over the Red Sox. In tonight's series opener, the Red Sox start righty Nick Pivetta (9-6, 4.57 ERA) and the Rays send out fellow righty Luis Patino (3-3, 4.53 ERA). This line opened with Tampa Bay listed as a -125 home favorite and Boston a + 115 road dog. Respected money is laying the chalk with the red-hot Rays, who have won seven straight games. Pros steamed Tampa Bay up from -125 to -135. Home favorites off a win are 439-284 (60.7%) this season. The Rays are 35-14 (71.4%) as a home favorite. Tampa Bay is 7-5 against Boston this season, including 5-1 at home. We could be looking at a higher scoring game. The total is 8.5 with the over juiced to -120, signaling a possible rise to 9. The over is 7-3 in the last ten matchups between these teams. The Rays are 72-53 to the over this season.

9:45 p.m. ET: Milwaukee Brewers (79-52) at San Francisco Giants (84-46)

This non-division showdown features two of the top three teams in the NL going head-to-head. The Brewers sit comfortably in first place in the NL Central, leading the second place Reds by 8.5-games. Meanwhile, the first place Giants lead the NL West by 2.5-games over the second place Dodgers. In tonight's series opener, Milwaukee gives the ball to ace righty Corbin Burnes (8-4, 2.30 ERA) and San Francisco starts fellow righty Johnny Cueto (7-6, 3.73 ERA). This line opened with the Brewers listed as -130 road favorites and the Giants a + 120 home dog. The public is split down the middle. They see two great teams facing off and don't know who to take. But pros seem to be leaning with the Brewers, as we've seen Milwaukee creep up from -130 to -140. Short road favorites -150 or more off a win are 147-95 (60.7%) this season. When two great teams square off (both win percentages of .550 or more), the favorite is 25-15 (62%). Milwaukee also has value as a favorite with a low total (7.5). The fewer amount of runs scored, the more likely they come from the better team. Runs could be at a premium in this one. The total is 7.5 with the under juiced to -115, indicating a possible fall down to 7.

10:10 p.m. ET: Atlanta Braves (70-59) at Los Angeles Dodgers (82-49)

If the postseason started today, both of these non-division opponents would be in. The Braves sit in first place in the NL East, leading the second place Phillies by 4.5-games. Meanwhile, the Dodgers occupy the first Wild Card spot and only trailing the first place Giants by 2.5-games in the NL West. In tonight's series opener, Atlanta hands the ball to lefty Drew Smyly (9-3, 4.54) and Los Angeles counters with fellow southpaw Julio Urias (14-3, 3.17 ERA). This line opened with the Dodgers listed as a -180 home favorite and the Braves a + 165 road dog. Sharps aren't outsmarting themselves in this one. They're backing the better team at home with the starting pitcher advantage, steaming Los Angeles up from -180 to -190. Non-division home favorites are 423-265 (61.5%) this season, winning roughly + 13 units. The Dodgers are 82-46 as a favorite and 43-23 at home. We could also be looking at a lower scoring game here. The total is 9 with the under juiced to -115, signaling a possible fall to 8.5.
 

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